Pre-tourney Rankings
Morehead St.
Ohio Valley
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.4#203
Expected Predictive Rating-2.7#211
Pace70.3#108
Improvement+1.9#87

Offense
Total Offense+0.7#151
First Shot-0.5#188
After Offensive Rebound+1.1#91
Layup/Dunks-0.1#188
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.9#24
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#221
Freethrows-2.8#318
Improvement+1.9#70

Defense
Total Defense-3.1#254
First Shot-2.7#260
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#226
Layups/Dunks-1.6#241
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#54
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#257
Freethrows-1.6#272
Improvement+0.0#183
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2016 164   Lipscomb W 89-75 50%     1 - 0 +11.6 +6.8 +3.8
  Nov 16, 2016 155   @ Marshall L 77-85 30%     1 - 1 -5.0 -5.6 +1.5
  Nov 19, 2016 154   @ Evansville L 56-69 30%     1 - 2 -9.9 +1.4 -15.1
  Nov 25, 2016 73   @ Pittsburgh L 63-76 12%     1 - 3 -2.8 +4.8 -10.1
  Nov 30, 2016 149   Northern Kentucky L 79-84 47%     1 - 4 -6.7 +4.0 -10.6
  Dec 03, 2016 16   @ Purdue L 56-90 3%     1 - 5 -13.9 -5.6 -8.7
  Dec 10, 2016 164   @ Lipscomb L 84-98 31%     1 - 6 -11.4 +2.6 -12.7
  Dec 13, 2016 186   @ Eastern Washington L 86-88 OT 35%     1 - 7 -0.5 +1.6 -1.8
  Dec 17, 2016 69   East Tennessee St. L 68-78 23%     1 - 8 -4.6 -3.9 -0.2
  Dec 19, 2016 314   Central Arkansas W 111-85 83%     2 - 8 +13.2 +12.8 -3.0
  Dec 22, 2016 86   @ Mississippi St. L 76-85 16%     2 - 9 -0.9 +14.9 -16.5
  Dec 31, 2016 211   @ Tennessee Martin L 77-81 OT 43%     2 - 10 0 - 1 -4.5 +0.3 -4.8
  Jan 05, 2017 225   Eastern Illinois W 85-75 66%     3 - 10 1 - 1 +3.4 +6.1 -3.2
  Jan 07, 2017 313   SIU Edwardsville W 73-65 83%     4 - 10 2 - 1 -4.7 -5.8 +0.9
  Jan 12, 2017 97   Belmont L 78-84 33%     4 - 11 2 - 2 -3.9 +8.2 -12.3
  Jan 14, 2017 183   Tennessee St. W 87-85 54%     5 - 11 3 - 2 -1.4 +15.0 -16.4
  Jan 19, 2017 288   @ Austin Peay W 89-82 62%     6 - 11 4 - 2 +1.6 +3.2 -2.1
  Jan 21, 2017 273   Eastern Kentucky W 80-54 75%     7 - 11 5 - 2 +16.7 +4.6 +12.4
  Jan 26, 2017 259   @ Tennessee Tech L 73-76 53%     7 - 12 5 - 3 -6.1 -3.6 -2.3
  Jan 28, 2017 176   @ Jacksonville St. W 72-69 34%     8 - 12 6 - 3 +5.0 +6.5 -1.2
  Feb 04, 2017 230   @ Southeast Missouri St. W 89-81 48%     9 - 12 7 - 3 +6.2 +18.0 -11.5
  Feb 08, 2017 202   Murray St. W 101-100 OT 59%     10 - 12 8 - 3 -3.8 +8.2 -12.1
  Feb 11, 2017 273   @ Eastern Kentucky W 67-62 57%     11 - 12 9 - 3 +0.8 -2.7 +3.8
  Feb 16, 2017 183   @ Tennessee St. L 52-64 35%     11 - 13 9 - 4 -10.3 -18.5 +8.5
  Feb 18, 2017 97   @ Belmont L 73-89 18%     11 - 14 9 - 5 -8.8 +2.1 -10.9
  Feb 23, 2017 259   Tennessee Tech W 73-68 71%     12 - 14 10 - 5 -3.1 -1.5 -1.6
  Feb 25, 2017 176   Jacksonville St. L 61-70 53%     12 - 15 10 - 6 -12.1 -4.3 -9.2
  Mar 02, 2017 202   Murray St. L 69-75 49%     12 - 16 -8.3 -3.6 -5.0
Projected Record 12.0 - 16.0 10.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 0.0%
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 100.0% 100.0
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%